Millwall v Brighton
England FA Cup
17 March 2019
Neil Harris and Chris Hughton will have been pleased with the draw as they avoided the Manchester duo, but Brighton will inevitably fancy their chances more, even if this game does take place away from the Amex. They’ll be riding high fresh off the back of a 2-1 win away over bitter rivals Palace, leaving them with three wins across their last four fixtures, with the last two in the Premier League as they’ve provided some breathing space over the teams below them down in the lower reaches of the table. Meanwhile, Millwall is just one point above the drop zone in the Championship and don’t arrive in the best of the shape having suffered four defeats in their last five outings.
Premier League sides can often field weakened teams in the earlier rounds of domestic cups, before then putting their first team regulars back in as the potential to go deep into the tournament arises. From the fifth round onwards, Championship sides have gone W2-D6-L16 hosting Premier League sides in the FA Cup since 2009/10, while even excluding the ‘Big Six’ they’re still only W2-D3-L9 over this period as top-flight teams have maintained the upper hand.
Brighton went W1-D5-L13 on the road from late November 2017 until the end of September 2018, but they’ve clearly made improvements in that department as they’ve won four times in the 13 subsequent away days. That alleviates some concern over their ability to win beyond the confines of home comfort and up against one of the weaker teams in the league below, should be aiming for progression over 90 minutes.
Millwall v Brighton Prediction
According to match analysis, teams’ form, h2h stats and recent news, we recommend the following bet:
Brighton Draw No Bet